Multifractal Volatility: Theory, Forecasting, and Pricing By Laurent E. Calvet, Adlai J. Fisher
English | 2008 | 272 Pages | ISBN: 0121500136 | PDF | 3,9 MB
English | 2008 | 272 Pages | ISBN: 0121500136 | PDF | 3,9 MB
Calvet and Fisher present a powerful, new technique for volatility forecasting that draws on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics and provides a unified treatment of the use of multifractal techniques in finance. A large existing literature (e.g., Engle, 1982; Rossi, 1995) models volatility as an average of past shocks, possibly with a noise component. This approach often has difficulty capturing sharp discontinuities and large changes in financial volatility.